Jeter Gone

 

listen minute 1:40 how the crowd reaction to the last swing of the captain at home:

http://www.sbnation.com/lookit/2014/9/26/6848457/derek-jeter-final-yankee-stadium-at-bat-frank-sinatra-my-way

 

 

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https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=BO0wbvQ4GSw

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=a9qncKKSm7Y

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=yH7BaQEguYs

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5j5Xr1t6DJc

 

In 1995 Clyde King ─special adviser to George Steinbrenner, near the end of sprin training suggested sending Derek Jeter to the minors to get some seasoning.  “He is not ready to play”, said Clyde King.  What Torre found while watching Derek Jeter on TV, before meeting him, “I’m going to get an opportunity to get the job”; he was taking nothing for granted, not like he was inheriting the job.

Book Review: Mariano Rivera

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Estaba yo esperando un vuelo de conexión hacia Dallas en el Aeropuerto de Miami, por trabajo, y me puse a leer libros en una tienda, como por media hora, -de gratis-, y cuando vi el relojo ya solo faltaban 10 mins para abordar. En la salida de la tienda vi una foto de Mariano Rivera en la portada de un libro “The Closer”, me acerqué y sin dudarlo lo agarré y lo fui a pagar.

 

1) Anectdota: La apuesta con el gran jefe

Durante un playoff se encuentra a George Steinbrenner antes de salir al campo. Despues de un corto saludo Mariano le dice al jefe: “si, seguro vamos a ganar, y para que  vea, se lo apuesto: si perdemos lo invito a cenar y si ganamos me presta su avion privado para ir a Panama”. Al dia siguiente la asistente del jefe llamó a Mariano para fijar los detalles, habían ganado la noche anterior.

2) Interesante: Nunca se visualizó como Pitcher

Nunca se obsesionó con ser un grandes ligas y menos llegó a fantesear que sería una figura emblematica en el baseball y en el equipo mas importante de los deportes. Mas bien fue un asunto que nadie se imaginaba, nisiquiera él.

3) Mas interesante: Futbolista

Le gustaba jugar futbol. A mi nunca me ha gustado el futbol y lo desprecio porque no me atrae, me es una cosa muy interesante que alguien que yo admiro en el Baseball le haya gustado tanto el fut, que hasta hay fotos donde sale uniformado de futbolista. Creo que no hay que tomarse tan enserio las cosas. Como Mo le decia a Arod: ¿para que complicarse mas la vida de lo que ya es?

4) El Llamado

Mariano piensa que Dios lo llamó a que fuera el jugador que fue. La aparición de su “cutter” fue otra cosa inesperada y rara que ni el entendia por qué estaba pasando. Usando el axioma de la accion triniataria de Ranher, Dios llama salvando y salva creando, podemos decir que Dios llamo a Mariano Rivera, lo re-creó con su recta cordata y fortaleza mental y con eso ha enviado un mensaje a todo su pueblo que confiando en el llamado que él mismo propone, las cosas ordinarias, como el trabajo, pueden hacerse extraordinariamente, haciendo una labor co-redentora transformando la realidad que nos rodea a partir de la excelencia y autenticidad en lo que hacemos. Esto es lo que yo llamo el “Evangelio segun Mariano Rivera”.

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At bat = at Trade

I was thinking yesterday in my way to the gym that one should approach trading a certain market in the way a baseball hitter would approach his/her at-bat.

Would I be willing to face Mariano Rivera with overweight and relative ignorance of hitting mechanics?

Hitting skills are acquired at early ages. The grip of the bat, the transference of body weight from back to front when swinging, keeping the eyes on the ball, stay on the tip of your feet, hip movement, recognizing if the pitch is a fast ball or any thing else, and such and such are skills that the hitter begins to practice at about eight years old. Only the daily improvement in such skill will allow him/her to fight an at-bat against a regular pitcher.

MLB’s players take batting practice before each of the 162 games during regular season. They never stop seeking improvement their hitting skills. You see a Derek Jeter that goes on December to Florida for taking some swings, Robinson Cano, Yankees’ 2nd baseman, goes with his dad to his country and both train together on the hitting mechanics, Arod makes swings at his pool.

Also a hitter’s odds are always against him. Actually 33% probability of getting on base by making a swing is a very good average since most of the time a good hitter will fail on the main goal of his at-bat.

The important question is what mechanics do you think a wannabe-trader should learn to start as a trader? What kind of routines would you propose him? So far I have an answer but I’d like to see you speaking your mind.

pitch count and trading

Probably my experience in baseball is as documented as in trading. Very low for an average standard. I am not in the major league in my country [which is very bad in a word standard] neither I am a full time trader taking and handling positions with my own money. In baseball I just pitch for a 3rd level league (Mantarrayas is the name) and in trading I am just a commodity markets risk analyst. I suppose to manage hedging positions of clients but that is another story. Even though I do manage positions, not of my speculative mine, but the hedging account of my boss who is a 10-year-experienced trader. For example now I am looking 2 options-spread trades one in  the SP500 mini and other in the euro futures. Also a paper trade of mine which I just posted last time I decided to write here.

 

Well enough BS. I planned to talk about the relationship between the strike/ball account and the performance of a system or a trader.

 

As a pitcher the best thing you can have is either a strikeout [3 strikes] or a hit managed by your defense like a ground ball or a fly ball.

 

Pitching is hard because first of all you have to be able to put the ball in the strike zone at a decent velocity. The pitchers you see in the TV are the exception of the rule because most of the time they are able to make more strikes than balls. Most of humans that like baseball cannot locate a decent fastball more than 2 or three times around the strike zone. Much less people can play with the catcher hitting the corners and moving the ball with plain vanilla curve balls or only variation of a fastball. Pitching is hard and most of the times homo-sapiens don’t realize until we try it.

 

As I extend in my lunch time while I see the TY, SP and CL, I try to make a point, I am just getting stuck with baseball.

 

Ok. Few days back a I saw a mlb playoff game and one of the pitchers had 101 pitches 69 of them strike. That’s a strike ratio of 2.15, meaning 2 strikes for one ball. He was able to get ahead of the hitter most of the time. If you consider a win/lose ratio of a trading system, for example one I am testing now: it is a -0.6% avg lose and +0.2% winner, or a strike/ball ratio of 0.39. That like a 101 pitches with 29 strikes, a very very poor performance.

I have made about 14 trades in the corn futures. two of them were profitable. And losses were extremely heavy. I have opened about 4 games in my baseball career since 2008, and only one of them were mediocre, the rest were very bad. I don’t have the strike/pitch count.

 

What system or approach should I use to improve in these both environments that I like so much? I even gained weight and every day I am very poor making it impossible to even put some dollars for a little spread trade in the oil market. Is this really for me? Was I designed for baseball and trading? What strategies must me thought to accelerate the truth of these questions?