Crude Oil falls ~4% today

Support: $38 support.  Resistance:  $51. Bullish interest outgrows bearish bets.

Explanation:  Volume in calls was highly increased (77%), new positions grown 36% mainly at the $60/$61 strike level. The most traded strike was $51.  On the other hand, volume in puts was highly increased (63%) but new positions grown at only 4% mainly at the $35/$36 strike level.  The most traded strike was $38.

Note: The earlier was inferred by glancing puts and calls quotes from December 4th and 7th in the CLF16 contract.

 

PQ soy adicto

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Cesare Guerreschi, autor del libro Las Nuevas Adicciones quien afirma que en la cultura occidental todos hemos crecido con la lógica ¨no hay que depender de nadie¨ y transmitimos esa lógica en nuestras familias (es un instinto cultivado y reafirmado constantemente en la vida cotidiana). Pero la paradoja es que nos esmeramos en no depender de las personas y paramos de esta manera fomentando la dependencia a través de diversas obsesiones: sustancias (alcohol, droga, comida, tecnología) o circunstancias (dependencias emocionales). La foto es un pantallazo via Netflix de la pelicula American Beauty (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Beauty_(1999_film)).

 

 

Cursos de Cafè

Los cursos de cafe no sirven. Al tomar cafè uno experimenta asombro, y eso no necesariamente significa que uno sea ignorante.

La cultura contemporánea se funda en la sobre-dimension de las intenciones.  La gente no cree en  verdades absolutas y desconfía de quienes crean lo contrario.  Especialmente los “milenarios” que en general son narcisitas y  afectivamente titubiantes.

No puede haber un mejor mercado objetivo para el café.  No hay tal cosa como “buen café”, solo hay cafe que te gusta y que no. Si un “Colombia” te pareció mejor que un “Acatenango” podría explicarse por muchas razones desde el método de preparación hasta tu preferencia de países.  Es “relativo”. Y eso está bien porque a nadie le hace daño tu preferencia.

He visto en Guate que el barista hable de características como acidez y cuerpo sin explicar exactamente a qué se refiere. La gente que se está volviendo “coffee snob” es porque les agrada la experiencia de probar diferentes sabores y aromas con la misma bebida, no porque alguien los está aleccionando.

Mi propuesta es que el barista, al entregar la taza, debe hacer preguntas en vez de dar catedras:

  • ¿Qué te pareció?
  • ¿A qué huele?
  • ¿A que sabe?
  • ¿Te gusta mas menos que otros o es diferente?
  • ¿Te gustaría probarlo con otro método?
  • ¿De donde crees que viene este cafe?
  • ¿A qué te recuerda todo esto?

Esta experiencia interpersonal está haciendo que el Specialty Coffee se lleve el 37% del volumen pero el 50% de la facturación.  La gente quiere experiencias y, despues del H2O, el café es la mejor bevida en todo sentido.

Por lo tanto, lo que hay que hacer es vender los metodos con la opción de una platica amistosa con un@ expert@.  No voy a pagar por escuchas las opiniones de un desconocido, pero si voy a escuchar a un desconocido al comprar el metodo que me parece mas interesante.

Etica: ¿paga? Tigo-Millicom

publicado originalmente en Black Box.

No se si conducirse con un criterio moral tiene dividendos. Pero está comprobado que jugar sucio tiene perdidas garantizadas.

Hoy Millicom cayó 6% mientras el S&P 500 subió casi 2%.  Como se ve en pantallazo, el fundamental tiene que ver con Tigo Guate.

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Click en la imagen para ir al blast de Bberg.

Segun mis calculos esto representa mas de $300 millones en la capitalizacion (y eso que no estamos agregando como le fue al bono corporativo que salió hace un par de años).

El CFA Institue, en su Codigo de Etica y Estandares de Conducta del CFA, dice:

Place the integrity of the investment profession and the interests of clients above their own personal interests.

Eso no lo enseñan en los posgrados.  Es algo que solo la calle maneja:

High ethical standards are critical to maintaining the public’s trust in financial markets and in the investment profession. Since their creation in the 1960s, the Code and Standards have promoted the integrity of CFA Institute members and served as a model for measuring the ethics of investment professionals globally, regardless of job function, cultural differences, or local laws and regulations. All CFA Institute members (including holders of the Chartered Financial Analyst® [CFA®] designation) and CFA candidates must abide by the Code and Standards and are encouraged to notify their employer of this responsibility. Violations may result in disciplinary sanctions by CFA Institute. Sanctions can include revocation of membership, revocation of candidacy in the CFA Program, and revocation of the right to use the CFA designation.

La Sagrada Familia

Leída rápida al instrumentum laboris del Sínodo s/ la Familia -Oct 2015.

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“God’s plan the family is not a duty but a gift […]  And that today the decision to enter into the Sacrament of Marriage is not a foregone conclusion but something to be developed and a goal to be achieved.”

Interesante:

Ideas pastorales para hacer con un grupo de amigos casados:

Reflexiones jugosas:

 

Ciertamente este sínodo está esbozando una plataforma de despegue de la teologia del laicado.

Prayer to the Holy Family

Jesús, María y José
en vosotros contemplamos
el esplendor del verdadero amor,
a vosotros, confiados, nos dirigimos.

Santa Familia de Nazaret,
haz también de nuestras familias
lugar de comunión y cenáculo de oración,
auténticas escuelas del Evangelio
y pequeñas Iglesias domésticas.

Santa Familia de Nazaret,
que nunca más haya en las familias episodios
de violencia, de cerrazón y división;
que quien haya sido herido o escandalizado
sea pronto consolado y curado.

Santa Familia de Nazaret,
que el próximo Sínodo de los Obispos
haga tomar conciencia a todos
del carácter sagrado e inviolable de la familia,
de su belleza en el proyecto de Dios.

Jesús, María y José,
escuchad, acoged nuestra súplica.

Apuntes del documento de Oct 2014 & Otros:

   
    
 

The Family: Image of the Trinity

46. (16) Jesus, who reconciled all things in himself, restored marriage and the family to their original form (Mk 10:1-12). Marriage and the family have been redeemed by Christ (Eph 5:21-32), restored in the image of the Holy Trinity, the mystery from which every true love flows. The spousal covenant, originating in creation and revealed in the history of salvation, receives its full meaning in Christ and his Church. Through his Church, Christ bestows on marriage and the family the grace necessary to witness to the love of God and to live the life of communion. The Gospel of the Family spans the history of the world from the creation of man in the image and likeness of God (cf. Gn 1: 26-27) until it reaches, at the end of time, its fulfillment in the mystery of the Christ’s Covenant with the wedding of Lamb (cf. Rev19:9) (cf. Saint John Paul II, Catechesis on Human Love)

Catequesis sobre la familia

The Indissolubility of Marriage and the Joy of Sharing Life Together

54. (21) Mutual self-giving in the Sacrament of Marriage is grounded in the grace of Baptism, which establishes the foundational covenant of every person with Christ in the Church. In accepting each other and with Christ’s grace, the engaged couple promises a total self-giving, faithfulness and openness to new life. The married couple recognizes these elements as constitutive in marriage, gifts offered to them by God, taking seriously their mutual commitment, in God’s name and in the presence of the Church. So, in faith it is possible to assume the goods of marriage as commitments which are more sustainable through the help of the grace of the Sacrament. God consecrates the love of husband and wife and confirms its indissolubility, offering them assistance to live their faithfulness, mutual complementarity and openness to life. Therefore, the Church looks to married couples as the heart of the entire family, which, in turn, looks to Jesus.

55. Joy is an expression of the full realization of a person. To manifest the unique joy of the union of husband and wife and the formation of a new family calls for presenting the family as a place of personal and gratuitous relations, unlike those in society. The voluntary and reciprocal self-giving, the life which is born and the care of one member for the other, from the youngest to the oldest, are just some of the aspects which make the family unique in its beauty. It is important to develop the idea that marriage is a life-long choice which does not limit one’s existence, but instead makes it richer and fuller, even in times of difficulty.

Through this choice in life, the family builds society not as simply the numerical sum of the residents of a particular territory or as a group of citizens of a given State, but as a genuine experience of a people united in spirit and, in the case of the Church, the People of God.

Evangelio segun la Familia

Within the family, “which could be called a domestic church” (LG, 11), a person begins a Church experience of communion among persons, which reflects, through grace, the Mystery of the Holy Trinity. “In a family, a person learns the effort and the joy of work, fraternal love, and generosity in forgiving others — always renewed — and above all divine worship in prayer and the offering of one’s life” (CCC, 1657). The Holy Family of Nazareth is a wondrous model in whose school we “understand why we have to maintain spiritual discipline, if we wish to follow the teachings of the Gospel and become Christ’s disciples” (Blessed Pope Paul VI, Address at Nazareth, 5 January 1964). The Gospel of the Family also nourishes the seeds which are still waiting to grow; and serves as the basis for caring for those trees which have withered and must not be neglected.